Tag Archives: transport vulnerability

Transport infrastructure resilience

Is it possible to devise a simple framework for assessing the resilience of the transport infrastructure? The answer is Yes, and the New Zealand Transport Agency has done so. That said, it is not a “simple” framework. It is comprehensive, it is academically well-founded, it is practical, but it is not easy to put into use. Nonetheless, New Zealand has done that, too. In my opinion, it is something  many countries can learn from.

My own struggles

I came across this report on Measuring the resilience of transport infrastructure, published by the NZ Transport Agency, while trying to come up with a similar means of measure for the Norwegian road network. The measure would be put into use (among many other criteria) for prioritising investment projects in our National Transport Plan, a ten-year-plan that is revised every four years and that outlines how the Government intends to prioritise resources within the transport sector. The emphasis here is on “outlines” and “intends”, since the plan is not a commitment, merely an intention, and funding has to be allocated and voted upon by the parliament every year. Still, the four national agencies that are responsible for air, sea, rail and road transport in Norway spend considerable resources for finding projects, evaluating them and prioritising them, just to see the politicians then preferring the politically attractive projects over the economically attractive projects, as I wrote in a post some time back on why the world’s richest country has the world’s worst roads.

Resilience defined

Anyway, back the New Zealand report, and the reason for mentioning it on this blog, is the thoroughness with which the subject of resilience is described, and then narrowed down into two components: technical resilience and organisational resilience.

But before I get to that point, what enticess me most of all is their definition of resilience:

The concept of resilience is wider than natural disasters and covers the capacity of public, private and civic sectors to withstand disruption, absorb disturbance, act effectively in a crisis, adapt to changing conditions, including climate change, and grow over time.

As the report states, this definition rightly acknowledges that the service the infrastructure delivers will be disrupted, due to damage to the infrastructure; however, the service is able to reduce the possibility of failure, adapt and recover from a disruptive event and/or gradual external changes over time.

This reminds me of one my previous posts, about resilient organisations. There, resilience is about a company’s capacity to benefit from unlikely events, events which could have turned into threats, but instead were turned into opportunities. It is about the capacity to take advantage of serendipity, to take advantage of involuntary sagacity.

Two dimensions of resilience

The reseach report goes through a number of approaches towards resilience, citing academic references and relevant literature, and focuses on the key point, that resilience has two dimensions: organisational and technical:

Technical resilience: The ability of the physical system(s) to perform to an acceptable/desired level when subject to a hazard event.

Organisational resilience: The capacity of an organisation to make decisions and take actions to plan, manage and respond to a hazard event in order to achieve the desired resilient outcome.

I think this makes sense. While you can invest in strengthening your infrastructure techincally, this will not make you any more resilient unless the organisation(s) responding to an event are skilled, prepared and trained towards it.

Within these dimensions the authors describe underlying principles of both technical and organisational resilence:

Technical:

Robustness: the ability of elements, systems and other units of analysis, to withstand a given level of stress or demand without suffering degradation or loss of function

Redundancy: the extent to which elements, systems, or other infrastructure units exist that are substitutable, in the event of disruption, degradation, or loss of functionality.

Safe-to-fail: the extent to which innovative design approaches are developed,  recognising that the possibility of failure can never be eliminated.

Organisational:

Change readiness: the ability to sense and anticipate hazards, identify problems and failures, and to develop a forewarning of disruption threats and their effects.

Networks: the ability to establish relationships, mutual aid arrangements and regulatory partnerships, understand interconnectedness and vulnerabilities across all aspects of supply chains and distribution networks.

Leadership and culture: the ability to develop an organisational mind-set/culture of enthusiasm for challenges and opportunities.

As I see it, the authors have captured mots if not all of which that goes into resilience.

Overall resilience score

Based on the dimensions and principles the authors devise a resilience assessment framework that comes up with a final overall resilience score: Very High, High, Moderate and Low resilence.

Complicated? Maybe. Comprehensive? Yes.

Reference

Hughes, JF and K Healy (2014) Measuring the resilience of transport infrastructure. NZ Transport Agency
research report 546. 82pp

Author links

Download

nzta.govt.nz: Measuring the resilience of transport infrastructure

Related posts

husdal.com: Resilient organisations

Transport Network Disruption

Today is my last day at work as Researcher at Møreforsking Molde. It is a sad day, because I am leaving a very exciting field, namely supply chain risk, but also a joyous day, because I am returning to a field I left 5 years ago, namely transport vulnerability. From here I head off into a new direction, as announced earlier, where I will be Senior Adviser in Societal Security and Emergency Preparedness issues to the South Region of the Norwegian Public Roads Administration. To mark the switch from supply chain risk to transport vulnerability – which has always been a minor part of this blog but will now become the major part – here is paper devoted to that very topic.

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INSTR 2012 – Call for papers

This is a conference that you shouldn’t miss if transport reliability and vulnerability is what interestes you: The 5th International Symposium on Transportation Network Reliability (INSTR), will be held in Hong Kong from December 18 to 19, 2012. The INSTR series is the premier gathering for the world’s leading researchers and professionals interested in transportation network reliability, to discuss both recent research and future directions in this increasingly important field of research. The deadline for submitting abstracts is 30 January 2012, so there is still time to draft something and submit a full paper when due later.

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The UK Transport Network Resilience…and I

For a budding and even for a seasoned researcher, nothing is more rewarding than to have one’s publications cited. Sometimes that happens in the unlikeliest of places. Or maybe this place is not so unlikely after all, given the main themes of my 10 years of research: supply chain risk, business continuity, and transportation vulnerability. It’s the latter that has caught the attention of a consultancy in the UK when preparing a report for the UK Highways Agency. The report, dated 2010 and titled Network Resilience and Adaptation, assesses and details in great depth the vulnerability and resilience of the transport infrastructure in the East of England and displays it using a GIS. “My” contribution, if I may call it that, is in the literature review section of the report, where definitions and perspectives on vulnerability, resilience and related terms are discussed. Frankly,  I had almost forgotten about these definitions, since I wrote them in a paper in 2004, but it’s nice to see that they still make an impact.

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Extreme Weather Hazards and Transportation Vulnerability

Weather Extremes: Assessment of Impacts on Transport Systems and Hazards for European Regions. That is the formal title of the WEATHER project, a project that is funded through the 7th framework program of the European Union and undertaken by a consortium of 8 partner institutions, lead by the Fraunhofer-Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI) in Karlsruhe, Germany. The WEATHER project aims at analysing the economic costs of more frequent and more extreme weather events on transport and on the wider economy and explores adaptation strategies for reducing them in the context of sustainable policy design. The project has been running since 2009 and perhaps it is now time to look at some of their deliverables and what has been delivered so far?

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Transportation Resilience

There hasn’t been a proper literature review on my blog for a while, but this post will put it right again, hopefully. Moreover, there hasn’t been a post on transportation for a while either, and this post will put that right, too.  The other day I came across Transportation security and the role of resilience: A foundation for operational metrics, a recent article by Andrew Cox, Fynnwin Prager and Adam Rose that presents a framework for evaluating transportation resilience, including the important role of perceptions in potentially amplifying security risks. With transportation being a major part of any supply chain this article also presents a framework for evaluating supply chain security and resilience. Based on the July 2005 terrorist attacks in London this paper not only develops a predictive resilience measures but also describes various strategies at the macro, micro and meso level.

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Importance and Exposure – Measures of Vulnerability?

Today I am presenting a paper from an old friend of mine. Well, “friend” is perhaps a slight exaggeration, as I have only met him a few times, but his work has nevertheless been a great inspiration to me over the years, since we work in the same field: transport network vulnerability. In 2006 Erik Jenelius from KTH in Stockholm, Sweden, together with Tom Petersen and Lars Göran Mattson published Importance and exposure in road network vulnerability analysis, where they introduce the concepts of link importance and site exposure. In the paper they calculate several indices for link importance and site exposure for the Swedish road network, based on the increase in generalized travel cost when links are closed.

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Today’s transport disruption: volcanoes

I haven’t had a “In the news” post for quite some time, but now Norway and much of Northern Europe are facing a major supply chain disruption: The shutdown of all air traffic because of a volcano eruption on Iceland causing an ash cloud to drift into European airspace. The eruption under a glacier in the Eyjafjallajoekull area of Iceland is the second in Iceland in less than a month, but this is the first time it has affected air traffic beyond its own borders. While air is only one of the four modes of transportation for supply chains, it is probably the mode that has the most expensive implications because it is often used for high-value goods. 

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Transportation – the forgotten staple

What a difference a title makes. I only found this article because it was referenced in another article.  Why? Because it  never occurred to me to search for articles on “risk” using “uncertainty” as a keyword. Bummer. Risk is undeniably linked to uncertainty, but I have never made that mental connection and never searched for articles on  “supply chain risk” using the term “supply chain uncertainty”. Perhaps I should have, because Establishing a transport operation focused uncertainty model for the supply chain illustrates very well how transportation is a staple ingredient in supply chains and how uncertainty is a staple ingredient in risk assessments, and consequently,  transportation uncertainty is a staple ingredient in supply chain risks.

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No grit No roads No show?

Today’s rather cryptic title reflects on the impacts of the current winter weather, and is a fitting follow-up to yesterday’s article on the security of supply.  The UK transportation systems seems to be particularly suffering under heavy loads of snow, and now they seem to be running out of salt and grit for their snowed-in roads. No grit means no cleared roads means no one able to get anywhere and a no-show of people everywhere.

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Road Vulnerability

Today we are going back in time, to one of the seminal articles in road vulnerability. Katja Berdica‘s 2002 article, An introduction to road vulnerability: what has been done, is done and should be done has laid the groundwork for many researchers, and has cited by not few authors since it was first published. It is a conceptual paper that provides the basis for why road vulnerability needs to be a more important issue than it usually is considered as. It is also the first paper to develop a framework for measuring road vulnerability.

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Critical: Beer Distribution

I’m not in the habit of making Friday a day for funny blog posts, but today’s article highlights a very interesting issue: Beer distribution is a sector that will be highly affected by a supply chain disruption…in the UK. You could even say that beer distribution is part of the UK critical infrastructure. At least, that’s the impression I have after reading McKinnon, Alan (2006). Life Without Trucks: The Impact of a Temporary Disruption of Road Freight Transport on a National Economy. Seriously, the article is about so much more. It shows how dependent our Just-In-Time-society has become on road transport, and what sectors that are most dependent on road transport. Transportation disruption should thus be part of any business continuity plan.

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Transportation Lifelines and Critical Infrastructure

This is the first paper that sparked my research interest in transportation vulnerability, and what would later become the focus area of my research: the cost of transportation vulnerability and the benefit of transportation reliability. It was published almost ten years ago, in 2001: Risk and Impact of Natural Hazards on a Road Network by Erica Dalziell and Alan Nicholson from the University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand. As far as I am aware of, the Dalziell-Nicholson paper is one of the first attempts to calculate a cost benefit ratio for road closure versus mitigation investments, where the road is seen as a transportation lifeline, and thus a critical infrastructure for the communities that it links.

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Transportation Hazards

This is an updated and extended review of  the Handbook of Transportation Engineering by Myer Kutz (editor) which I have reviewed in a previous post 4 years ago:  Book Review: The Handbook of Tranportation Engineering. While rummaging through references for a journal article I came across an old copy of the chapter on Transportation Engineering in the above book and to my surprise I discovered a recent acquaintance I had forgotten that I already had met 4 years ago: The risk definition by Kaplan & Garrick (1981). For supply chain risk researchers, this risk definition has it all.

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Bad locations = bad logistics?

How are companies located in sparse transport networks affected by supply chain disruptions? This article develops a new framework for the categorization of supply chains, and introduces the notion of the constrained supply chain. Within the constrained supply chain framework, a company can address its locational disadvantage by either redesigning the supply chain towards a better structure, in order to gain better location, or by redesigning the supply chain towards a better organization, in order to gain better preparedness.

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Highway Vulnerability and Criticality Assessment

Transportation vulnerability and resilience have been the focus of this blog for the past two days, first looking at Engineering Tranportation Lifelines and then Are roads more important than computers? Today I have a third article that relates to this subject: Assessing the vulnerability and criticality of the highway system. In 2002, AASHTO  (the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials) published a guideline on how to perform such an assessment, and I had almost forgotten about it, but it came back to me when I was researching my two previous posts. What makes this report worth posting about is the clear and distinct separation of the terms vulnerability and criticality.

 

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Are roads more important than computers?

Critical Infrastructure. Which is more important – or ‘critical’ – road networks or computers? What if one day you could no longer use your computer or the Internet for one month, but you could still go anywhere by car? Or what if one day you could no longer go anywhere by car for one month, but you still had your computer or the Internet up and running, which would be worse? I would rather live without computers than without roads…

 

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Engineering transportation lifelines

New Zealand is probably not the fist country that comes to mind when thinking of state-of-the-art transportation lifeline engineering.  Nonetheless, I think it is time to consider New Zealand as being one of the countries at the very forefront. A 2008 research project, initiated by the New Zealand Transport Agency, provides a close look at how New Zealand practices  lifelines engineering. The report is well-written, to the point and provides insight sand recommendations that are applicable not only to New Zealand, but to road and transport authorities anywhere.

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Book Review: Transportation Security

Instead of Transportation Systems Security, which I reviewed in an earlier post, I should have settled for this book, I realize that now. Transportation Security by Clifford Bragdon has all the stuff that I was looking for in Transportation Systems Security. Where that book fails, this book succeeds. Why? Because this book, unlike  the other mentioned, gives a holistic view of our world’s transportation security processes and operations, in all modes. Although at times heavily US and homeland security oriented, this book still manages to capture me, the international audience, to the full. As editor, Clifford Bragdon has managed to put together an excellent book and I can only commend him on his achievement.

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Book Review: Transportation Systems Security

This book, Transportation Systems Security by by Allan McDougall and Robert Radvanovsky is not what I thought it would be, but it’s not the books fault, I have to admit that much. It’s the classic misunderstanding of the difference of the terms “safety” and “security”. In English, these terms are distinctively different, in my language, Norwegian, there is only one word, “sikkerhet”, and sometimes this can be very confusing. So, what I thought was “safety” (which was what I was looking for) was in fact “security” (which was what I was NOT looking for). Nonetheless, personal disappointments aside, this book has some valid and interesting points, primarily in the introductory and theoretical parts in the beginning.

The strong side

The best chapter of the book, as far as I am concerned, is chapter 2: The Transportation System Topography, building the theoretical base for most of the book. The authors demonstrate a solid knowledge and understanding and manage to convey it in a clear and precise manner.

The weak side

The front cover gives the impression that this book deals with all transportation modes, or at least with air, sea and rail. It does not. And it is not so hands-on as I thought it would be. At times it seems to be  just meandering along without getting anywhere. I can understand that there is a lot of ground to cover, but do you really have to cover it all?

Conclusion

It is not a NO-buy, but also not a YES-buy, rather a MAYBE-buy. If you’re looking for a book on transportation vulnerability or transportation risks, this is probably not the book for you. However, if you are a transportation systems manager who wants to secure your transportation system against malicious attacks, yes, this book could be very helpful, albeit it will probably not be the one you will be using as a reference more than a few times.

Reference

McDougall A., & Radvanovsky, R. (2008) Transportation Systems Security. Boca Raton: Taylor and Francis

Author links

amazon.com

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